Early Stage Investor Update: AIMT Surges on Big Buyout

AIMT nearly tripled overnight on word Nestle will acquire the remaining shares.
  Early Stage Investor  
Stock Update

Aug 31, 2020

AIMT Surges on Big Buyout

Hi Savio,

There’s nothing better than waking up to news on a Monday morning that one of your stocks nearly tripled overnight.

That’s how we started the week after Nestle announced this morning that it will buy all the shares of Aimmune Therapeutics (AIMT) it does not currently own for $34.50 each. It’s an all-cash deal worth $2.6 billion that values the company at a 174% premium over Friday’s close.

You know I’ve been extremely bullish on Aimmune. It has the only FDA-approved treatment for peanut allergies, Palforzia, which should remain the only option for several years. Despite this potential, the stock has been under pressure because the pandemic swept the world shortly after Palforzia received FDA approval on January 31. Because people stopped visiting their allergist amid the shutdowns, the revolutionary drug’s rollout was slower than expected.

This led to the stock falling, which in turn created a great buying opportunity. I reiterated our buy on the stock in the Crisis and Opportunity Portfolio in the May Monthly Issue at $17.31. And today, that patience and our long-term outlook for the trend are paying off nicely.

At the buyout price of $34.50, AIMT would be up 99.3% from where we added it to the Crisis and Opportunity Portfolio!

So, here’s what we want to do in the wake of this great news:

Because the offer is all cash, there’s a 99% chance it will go through at that price. That being said, the stock will likely trade slightly below the offer price until the deal closes in the fourth quarter. That’s typical.

Let’s hold onto AIMT for a short time – probably a few days – to see if a better offer emerges. If not, we will book our nice profits and use that money for our next buying opportunity.

Side note: The odds of a higher offer are not good. However, when you consider that sales from Palforzia could exceed $1 billion in a few years, Nestle is getting a great deal.

Congrats!

Sincerely,

Signed:
Matt McCall
Editor, Early Stage Investor

Aug 31, 2020 07:33:32.362

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