The Speculator Trade Alert: Buy XOP Calls

Buy the XOP June 2022 $105 calls for $11 or lower. Use a "limit" order, not a "market" order. The current "offer" price is $10.
The Speculator -- By Eric Fry

By Eric Fry

Nov 30, 2021

The Oil & Gas Sector Isn't Dead Yet – Buy June 2022 Calls on XOP

Hello, Savio.

For most folks, oil stocks belong in the company of iconic American memorabilia like hula hoops, drive-in movie theatres, and TV commercials about the cigarette brands doctors prefer most.

They each enjoyed their moments in the sun, but those days are long gone.

Oil stocks, like hula hoops, still exist, of course. But neither enjoys the widespread popularity of bygone eras.

Everywhere you look, the world is turning away from fossil fuels and turning toward renewable energy technologies. Because of this powerful megatrend, many folks assume oil stocks and the returns they can deliver are a thing of the past.

But oil stocks may not be as passé as most folks assume. Like the Rolling Stones, they probably have a few solid performances left in them.

I think there's a good chance that one such performance is about to begin. I will provide additional details in a follow-up alert, but to summarize this opportunity briefly, oil stocks may be providing a compelling speculation for at least four reasons:

  1. Prior to the Omicron variant scare, worldwide oil demand had been recovering more quickly than most industry experts expected. Crude demand in China, for example, is already hitting new all-time highs.
  2. Boosting crude production significantly from current levels may not be as automatic and effortless as many investors believe.
  3. The Omicron scare has slashed the price of crude by more than $13 a barrel, even though the economic impact of this variant is completely unknown. Based upon the evolutionary tendency of viruses to become less virulent over time, and based upon early anecdotal evidence that this variant is producing mild symptoms, I believe the panic it is inducing could subside fairly quickly.
  4. Because of the recent, sudden drop in oil prices, OPEC+ will not likely boost production after this week's meeting.

Taken together, these factors indicate to me that speculation on crude oil offers more upside potential than downside risk from current levels.

Therefore, I recommend buying a June 2022 call option on the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP). This $3.2 billion ETF holds a basket of stocks that operate in the oil & gas production industry.

Action to Take:

Buy the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) June 2022 $105 calls for $11 or lower. Use a "limit" order, not a "market" order. The current "offer" price is $10.

Regards,

Signed:
Eric Fry
The Speculator

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Nov 30, 2021 14:32:51.072

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